Downside of Dominance? F16 vs. F-35
Here in Hangar 8, three shifts of
Lockheed Martin technicians assemble F-16s, one of the most powerful and widely used fighter jets in history. They work tediously by hand -- bolt by
bolt, wire by wire -- turning the plane's belly into a colorful work of industrial art later covered by 18,000 pounds of aluminum. The saying around
here: Kick the tire, light the fire and then watch the thing zoom away.
F-16s used to be built next door in a mile-long factory that employees travel through on Schwinn bicycles. Now Lockheed is using that space to develop
the F-35 stealth fighter jet, including a version that can land vertically. That Lockheed is juggling two of the world's most feared fighters
illustrates its dominance in the industry and the importance of fighters for Lockheed's business. The F-16 has consistently been one of the Bethesda
firm's top three revenue-generating products in the past decade.
"It has just had incredible staying power," said Bruce Tanner, Lockheed's chief financial officer.
But the circumstances in Fort Worth show the tricky path companies face when producing expensive products for governments that will replace the
expensive products that governments already know and can still use.
"Lockheed's most potent competitor in the fighter business is Lockheed," said Loren Thompson, a well-connected military analyst with the
Virginia-based Lexington Institute. "Its older planes are competing with its newer planes for market share. This is the downside of their tremendous
success."
Lockheed has sent F-16 production back to Hangar 8, where the plane was first built in the 1970s as a daytime dogfighter, with pilots firing
heat-seeking missiles. There were no bombs on board. Through some engineering ingenuity, some well-timed upgrades and some political help, the F-16
became the dominant all-purpose fighter for the Air Force and its allies around the world. Only about 1,000 were supposed to be built. Today, there
are 4,500. An F-16 has never lost an air-to-air battle, but it is now primarily sold only overseas. One big potential customer is India.
Some skeptics have wondered why U.S. officials are investing nearly $300 billion to develop and buy the F-35 when the F-16, which costs about $40
million per jet, has proven so popular and easily upgradeable that 24 countries have bought them, many as repeat customers.
"There's a pretty good argument to keep building new F-16s forever," said Michael O'Hanlon, a senior fellow and military analyst at the Brookings
Institution. "It's hard to say you can get a better bang for your buck."
It is an argument that could be made by a new administration in coming years, particularly if there is a recession. The Congressional Budget Office,
in its "Budget Options" report issued this year, said the federal government could save $87 billion by canceling the F-35 project and simply buying
more planes that are currently in use, including the F-16.
Lockheed officials said they are responding to the needs of the customer, in this case, the Pentagon, which has dubbed the F-35 the Joint Strike
Fighter because it will be used by the Air Force, Navy and Marine Corps. Though the F-35 will feature many of the F-16's tools -- sophisticated
radar, missile firing systems, electronic warfare and ground-to-air communication systems -- the newer jet's system will be significantly upgraded.
In particular, it will feature a faster, less detectable radar found only on 80 F-16s belonging to the United Arab Emirates.
But most importantly, according to Defense and Lockheed officials, the newer jet will be able to do one thing that an F-16 can't: go undetected by
enemy radar.
"The F-16 is a tremendously capable plane that just keeps proving its worth, even in combat operations today in Iraq and Afghanistan and with nations
around the world," said Bruce Lemkin, deputy undersecretary of the Air Force for international affairs. "But the F-35 is going to be a jump into
another dimension of performance and capability."
The F-35 would not be the only stealth fighter jet in the U.S. arsenal; the other is the F-22, also made by Lockheed.
The original developer of the F-16 was General Dynamics, which in 1993 sold its aeronautics business to Lockheed for $1.5 billion. At the time, some
critics wondered why Lockheed would want the F-16 program, in particular because it was seen as a mature fighter jet without much gas left in its
tank. In fact, shortly before Lockheed bought the program, there had been a slowdown in F-16 orders, and General Dynamics considered shutting down
some of the production and laying off thousands of workers. But President George H. W. Bush, who was facing election-year pressure in Texas in 1992,
lifted a ban on the sale of F-16s to Taiwan. The country bought 150.
"That's what ultimately saved the program," said Richard Aboulafia, a military analyst with the Teal Group.
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